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macWorld%20RIP.JPGApple's withdrawal from the Macworld trade show certainly arrived as a bombshell when the announcement was made on Wednesday. But what does it mean for the smaller companies it directly affects?

There have already been dozens of reaction pieces already penned (Sascha Segan and Lance Ulanoff have already provided their takes.) I chatted with a few vendors and analysts this morning, asking them what they thought about Apple's decision, and what it might mean if Apple's senior vice-president of marketing Phil Schiller took a more prominent role at the company.




Ross Rubin, a director of industry analysis at retail analyst NPD, said that Apple's decision doesn't necessarily doom tech trade shows in general, including the upcoming Consumer Electronics Show in January.

"Apple pulling out of Macworld Expo is not an indictment of tech trade shows," he said. "Apple is in a unique position in terms of not only having a direct physical channel but what it does within it. With Macworld Expo and [Ziff-Davis'] DigitalLife we have, however, seen events that are open to the public struggle to make their ROI case with technology companies here in the U.S. That said, IFA in Europe is a large technology show that is open to the public, at least for part of the event."

But for MacWorld, Apple's departure may be the kiss of death.

JupiterMedia vice president Michael Gartenberg noted that the Internet gives most companies an easy way to reach companies. "If you're relying on MacWorld to reach your target audience, you have larger problems," he said.

"The only thing propping up MacWorld was Apple. Even Adobe had pulled out this year," Gartenberg said. "Without Apple, there is no reason for that show to exist."

All of the vendor contacts I spoke to this morning, save one, wanted to speak on background, for fear of offending Apple and its sometimes irascible chief executive, Steve Jobs. All expressed concern about Jobs' health, and several wondered whether it was, as one pundit put it, Jobs' politics or his pancreas that caused Apple to pull out. "Let's face it: he's the face of this industry," one Mac software executive said.

It was perhaps an odd comment, given that the executive's next few statements concerned his presence at Macworld, and how his company's products might fare better in terms of attention.

"Be realistic, here: after the Jobs keynote is done, how much time do tech outlets like PC Magazine spend walking the show floor and covering the little guys?" he said. "It's MacBook, MacBook, iPod, maybe some software and we're outa here." Now that Apple has pulled out, it might give his company a bit more of a chance to shine, he said.

That directly contradicted a statement I received from Ten One Design, which designed what the company claims is the first iPhone stylus. "Apple's cachet rules the Macworld show floor," the company said. "As an exhibitor, it makes us feel a part of something larger than ourselves. Exhibiting in 2010 without that brand association would be much less compelling."

Both the software executive I spoke to and another in the Mac peripherals business felt that there would still be some Mac community events if MacWorld folded. (MacWorld, the publication, reported Wednesday that the Apple Paris Expo would also be closed.) "It's not going away," the executive said. "The Mac community is too tightly knit. Maybe we'll have to go back to the days of user groups, but there will always be an opportunity for us to meet, exchange ideas, and sell products."

Apple said Tuesday that senior vice president of marketing Phil Schiller will give the keynote address, a decided second fiddle to Jobs. In shifting the topic to Schiller, I made reference to the "reality distortion field" Jobs sometimes seems to project. "Schiller doesn't have that," the second executive said. "He's..."

"Human?" I asked.

The executive laughed. "I'd say more down to earth."

Jobs, as most geeks know, has a uniform: black turtleneck, black or blue jeans. What I didn't realize is that Schiller appears to have one, too: blue shirt, usually short-sleeved, and blue dress pants or jeans. No logos anywhere. (Compare his outfit in this YouTube video, this one, this third one, plus this last one, where Schiller appears in a long-sleeved shirt.)

Still, as Gartenberg pointed out, Schiller is essentially the number-two man at Apple. According to his official bio, Schiller has spent seventeen years at Apple.

"What we may be seeing is a more expanded visibility for these executives," Gartenberg said. "It's a way of reminding people that there are 20,000 to 25,000 employees at Apple, not just Steve."

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Content Recommendations from Evri
Posted by: Nanisani
December 17, 2008 8:10 PM

>Jobs, as most geeks know, has a uniform: black turtleneck, black or blue jeans.

.....mock turtleneck


Posted by: Mark Shmidt
December 17, 2008 10:24 PM

That's what happens when you have an industry around one hardware platform. You get a market that MUST move with that hardware platform. When Microsoft pulls out of a show, the Microsoft hardware/software vendors can still thrive. This is the Apple kingdom - comparing Apple's dominance in media player market to Microsoft's dominance in computing markets is a very bad comparison. Welcome to the wonderful world of proprietary PC design. Apple computers are personal computers, and now with Apple on x86 the only thing that makes an Apple PC different than any other PCs is one simple thing... a license. Yes, not OS X, because OS X can run on other PCs with the right hardware, why? OS X is built on BSD. So what is Apple now? What do they do?

Marketing. And what happens when a marketing company is the center of an industry? Hype. Per transaction services. That leads to balloons, just like... hey sounds like the mortgage industry...


Posted by: alan h
December 18, 2008 6:34 PM

I've mentioned this in a number of places (I really need to write something) but I'll rehash it here. It's not Apple I think anyone should be worried about - the anti-mac crowd would love to make this out as some kind of sign that Apple's not all it's cracked up to be, when it's anything of the sort.

Apple is big enough now that they can call a press conference in a heartbeat: all they need is a flashy logo that says "new tunes" and the rumors are flying about a DRM-free iTunes or a new band or label deal or new iPods or something else, so they hardly are in the position they were in several years ago when MacWorld and WWDC were the only two events where Apple and Apple users and fans could gather enough people and media attention to make an announcement really worthwhile.

The problem is that I think Apple is doing a disservice to the developer and trade communities that propped them up and worked symbiotically with them for such a long period of time when Apple couldn't raise a journalist's eyebrow unless it was about rumors of a merger with Sun or IBM or the company's outright death. By abandoning the community that worked so hard to help Apple succeed (and by no doubt succeeded on their own), I think Apple may be spiting its face in an inevitable future where Apple loses its luster again. I would love to think Apple will be successful forever, but I fear for the day when Apple is back in the ditch, supported mainly by fans and hardcore Apple lovers, but this time without a development community because they felt abandoned by moves like this.

There was a time when MacWorld and WWDC meant Apple was saying "thank you for standing with us, we'll be there," and now I'm worried this announcement means Apple is saying "we're too good for you," like a kid who suddenly struck it popular in a schoolyard.

Maybe you actually have to be at the show to feel that energy though - podcasts fly out of MacWorld and WWDC, deals are made, developers are hired, software is acquired, venture capital is arranged - all on the expo floor where the small developers who can afford a booth show off their latest widget or application or iPod case or Macbook skin. I can't count the number of nobody developers got their start by renting a booth at MacWorld or the WWDC, and without Apple at the show, it won't be long until the other large names like Adobe and Google pull out as well and the show dies off at worst or becomes a joke at best. And all of those developers who depend on the show to announce products or software, or want to use the show as a platform to launch their businesses will be left without a real avenue to do it - except maybe CES.


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